These lefty mailing lists are a mixed bag. The same list that embroiled itself recently in a purplefaced cunno-machia brought me yesterday this nice bit of news:
'1 in 4 Israelis would consider leaving country if Iran gets nukes'One of the comrades promptly came back with the only possible response:
By Ofri Ilani, Haaretz CorrespondentSome 23 percent of Israelis would consider leaving the country if Iran obtains a nuclear weapon, according to a poll conducted on behalf of the Center for Iranian Studies at Tel Aviv University.
Here's to Iran obtaining FOUR nukes!Well, I wish I'd said that. All that's left for me is a bit of pedantic niggling.
It's well known that Marxists are overoptimistic, and mostly no good at arithmetic -- even the Old Man labored over his long division. These things combine multiplicatively, not additively.
So scaring away three-quarters of the Israeli population would require about 5.3 Iranian nukes ((1 - 0.23)5.3 ≈ 0.25). Getting the population scared down to 10% of its present size would require almost 9 Iranian nukes -- a hair over 8.8.
Still, we're on the right track. Contributions to the Iranian nuclear program can be sent directly to me. I'll see that they get into the right hands.
Comments (5)
Israelis are master bluffers. They make Kruschev look like a scaredy-cat. Just as Netanyahu shakes his fist and thunders threats of existential retaliation against Iran, his ungrateful supporters up on their settlement walls shout back, "if you don't protect us, we'll leave!" Ironic, eh?
Never trust an Israeli public statement!
Posted by hce | May 24, 2009 5:42 PM
Posted on May 24, 2009 17:42
Very true. But geez, a guy can dream,can't he?
Posted by MJS | May 24, 2009 5:45 PM
Posted on May 24, 2009 17:45
I wonder if any math whizzes out there could calculate the risk a devoutly Muslim ruler would ever nuke the Holy Land. It might put our Israeli friends at ease.
Posted by Sean | May 24, 2009 8:51 PM
Posted on May 24, 2009 20:51
LOL! Four, eight, whatever. I just hope that Iran's missiles are good enough to scare off Israel and the U.S.
Like Reagan said, we need peace through strength.
Posted by Margaret | May 24, 2009 11:10 PM
Posted on May 24, 2009 23:10
"These things combine multiplicatively, not additively."
"It's well known that Marxists are overoptimistic" ..and dogmatical
one may have a very non linear function evidencing itself here
if y = the # ready to leave as a result of the iranian nuke pile
and x= the # of farsical n devices
then y(x)
could look mighty non linear eh ???
might be closer to
its upper asymptote already even at
just the thought of one nuke
then us optimisitic trierian reds
spontaneously imagine ??
my gut sez
them stiff necks will stick ...mostly
Posted by op | May 26, 2009 10:52 AM
Posted on May 26, 2009 10:52