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Rerum cognoscere causas? Naaah.

By Owen Paine on Friday November 26, 2010 08:00 AM

"Fuck it, Paine, of course I've not attended to the surface facts. Why let that get in the way of deep analysis?"

That's of course Mr Y talkin' (SMBIVA's former Foggy Bottom deep throat). I haven't heard much from himself since he got fired by that progressive think tank stupid enough to hire him after his ejection from the Foreign Service. Then came last night's call, triggered by the North Korean "wall of fire" dance.

"It's a break, Paine, a big bright break," sez Y. "No, it doesn't mean reunification is just around the corner. But these furious spasms always precede a burst of wild moderation by the NK leadership."

Me: "Yeah, yeah, sure. But really now... what's holding up the works here, anyway? I've been waiting for unification since 1979."

Y: "You Hegelians. Ugh. You never get this, do you? The state, in particular the party state, has no reasons of its own. It's just one damn thing after another."

Now that actually surprised me, at least coming out of Y. It's so 16th century, so bleak, so sceptical and anti-world-historical.

Now if it were Oxy or Crow telling me this in a hoarse liquorish voice... but alas, they never call me anymore at all. Must be some conservation law; Y now has to play stage-whispering Elizo-Jacobean Machiavel, faute de mieux, as Father S might say in his Kentucky French.

Comments (8)

Don't you know I gave up the liquor when I gave up the law, op?

But give up the contrary perspective, to let people sit idle in their mistaken assumptions? Not until I give up the ghost.

Arguing with a monomaniacal pointillist mystic is akin to fucking a dead body. I prefer to do neither, Priest.

The Dear Leadership is certainly way out on its own island. I'd say it's not too much farther out than the U.S. overclass, which is almost as loath to lose this Pentagon-boosting stalemate as these Potemkin Village enemies. True, our oligarchy is way too large, powerful, and deniable to wind up in jail or swinging in a noose after the re-u, but I don't rate it's tolerance for it much higher than the Il posse's.

As for the vast majority of Koreans, who of course don't count, it remains hard to think of a better project than re-u, for both N and S.

gluelicker:

Now here's a topic I can sink my cuspids into. I actually agree with right-leaning Pyongyang-watchers who argue that the DPRK regime is erratic and untrustworthy, and would not be sincerely content with a peace treaty and lasting security guarantee. After all, the "military first" doctrine of the Kim dynasty ties regime survival to being a perennial irritant. But that, of course, is precisely what the US imperium most secretly adores about North Korea -- what more convenient excuse is required for stationing a carrier group in the Yellow Sea, on China's perimeter? Of course, the "defense intellectuals" and Beltway pundits have to pretend that the DPRK is a mortal threat. Since it is demonstrably not, pretending it is so can be a rather strenuous exercise at times -- but Lee Myung-Bak sure has been happy to oblige with his amping up of the tit-for-tat logic. The South Korean right, in all of its stupidity, definitively gives the lie to the Marxist dictum that the state is the executive committee for managing the common affairs of the (LG-Hyundai-Samsung) bourgeoisie, that's for sure!

The situation for China is most ambiguous. It was no unalloyed fan of the Sunshine Policy, as long as said policy might ultimately lead to a unified peninsula with uncertain implications for its strategic posture and its commercial expansion. That might have worked out great, but it might not have -- especially if irredentist sentiment began to simmer in Yanbian Autonmous Prefecture. On the other hand, an isolated and unpredictable relay -- whose very status as an order-taking relay is wildly exaggerated by the Krauthammer idiots of the world -- is a major pain in the ass, too. I suppose the CCP just wishes for the status quo ante of, say, 2005, but time marches on.

As for what's in the cards with the USS George Washington steaming toward the Maritime Demarcation Line? IMO the Pentagon boys have no desire to pinprick the North Korean military now. It just wants to put on a dazzling war games show at a safe distance. And the Kims aren't receptive to being pin-pricked now. They've already got what they wanted -- they can tell their generals, and anyone else in their domestic audience who matters, "Look at that pathetic exercise the running dogs are staging. What a scare we put into the imperialists and their lackeys! Little Jong Un is all grown up now, a righteous heir to the glorious throne!" That's what I'm hoping, anyway.

gluelicker:

As for the sinking of the Cheonan, I imagine I'll (we'll) never know the full story. But I'll just bet it was a fuck-up by the incompetent ROK navy. To save 2MB's hide, a scapegoat had to be found, and a pliable international panel had to be lined up. The problem is, the predictable finding of the "blue-ribbon" commission -- its every member an ally of the US, of course -- put pressure on 2MB to do something "tough" in response, something he hadn't planned on doing, or wanted to do. Since approving some kind of punitive strike would have suicidal consequences, all he could do was withdraw investment from North Korea's own free-trade gulag, a serious money-making enterprise for the chaebol. What a buffoon!

Milton Marx:

Half of you SMBIVA's oughta go live in North Korea, where you can bask in your dream of a communist paradise. Keep Al here though. The guy is so far left, he makes Pol Pot look like Rahm Emanuel, but he's a smart fella nonetheless, who knows how to write a sentence, and seems to have his feet on the ground...even if it's in some defunct community garden. Plus, anyone who's out there with his fat-bunny fetish is alright with me. But maybe the North Koreans can teach OP how to write proper, readable sentences, not his f-ing gibberish.

Oh, and it's no wonder MJS hates teachers. They obviously didn't teach him much down in Deliverance country. Up here we like teachers because we actually appreciate education. Send him to N Korea too, where they'll learn him real good.

op:

Al has a very extensive fan klub these days
well beyond his biggest dreams
back in them days when
he and trail of tears
ran that perverted sheep fold
near sag harbor
or was it a goat blind ??

to think he's come so long a way ..
err Al that is
trailer ?? ...not so much

op:

"Half of you SMBIVA's oughta go live in North Korea"
after pol pot got bunged back into
the thai border briar patch
by hanoi's blitz
father and me
knew our khmer rouge groupie letter
was a gig in phase final

new gig ??

why not push korean unification
--from the DPRK pov --- ???

so far as i know
---for obvious reasons
mjs handled all higher level negotiations
on these projects ---

the DPRK UN contingent
had no interest what so ever in us

makes sense ...right ??

juche means never having
to scissor up cut outs

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